Endorsements

"probably the most prolific anti frack website in the UK"
- Ken Wilkinson - prominent pro-fracking activist and industry supporter (Yes we know , he doesn't know what "prolific" means does he)

Private Eye

Defend Localism!

Take the advice of Greg Clark, ex-Secretary of State for the Department for Communities and Local Government

Greg Clark

"Those who are prepared to organise to be more effective and more efficient should be able to reap substantially the rewards of that boldness ...

Take power now. Don’t let yourself, any longer, be ruled by someone else"

How many wells?

PNRAG Wells
Click the image from more information on Cuadrilla's plans for PEDL 165

Fracking Employment

From the Financial Times 16 October 2013

AMEC forecast just 15,900 to 24,300 nationwide - direct & indirect

Jobs would typically be short term, at between four and nine years

Only 17% of jobs so far have gone to local people

Rubbish!

Looking for misinformation, scaremongering, lies or stupidity?

It's all on this website (but only on this one post ) featuring the Reverend Mike Roberts.

(Oops - there's more! )

Here though is our favourite Reverend Roberts quote of all time - published in the Lancashire Evening Post on 5th August 2015

"If you dare oppose fracking you will get nastiness and harassment whether on social media, or face-to-face"

Yes you!

"Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing's going to get better. It's not." - Dr Seuss

We are not for sale!

England is not for sale!

Wrongmove

Join the ever growing number of households who have signed up to the Wrongmove campaign!

Tell Cuadrilla and the Government that your house is "Not for Shale"

Wrongmove

Be a flea

"Many fleas make big dog move"
Japanese Proverb quoted by Jessica Ernst

No to Fracking

Love Lytham Say No to Fracking

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The Precautionary Principle

When an activity or occurrence raises threats of serious or irreversible harm to human health or the environment, precautionary measures should be taken even if some cause and effect relationships are not fully established scientifically.

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Basic, introductory Information

Planning Appeals “Called In”

The Secretary of State (Greg Clark) is to call in Cuadrilla’s two fracking appeals in Lancashire. The Planning Inspector will still produce a report but the decision will be made at Westminster. The reason given is that the drilling appeals (3134385 and 3134386) involve proposals for exploring and developing shale gas which amount to proposals for development of major importance having more than local significance and proposals which raise important or novel issues of development control, and/or legal difficulties.

Clearly this decision is a U-turn on the government’s promises around localism and we await our MP , Mark Menzies’, reaction with great interest

He is on record as stating that these decisions should be taken locally. He says this very clearly here

Mr Menzies added: “As someone who believes strongly in localism, it is vital that these decisions are taken by the council planning authority, whose members are well aware of all the local issues involved.

“I have made it very clear in the House of Commons that under no circumstances should anyone seek to overturn the wishes of local people at a national level.

“If, after weighing up all the evidence, the planning authority decides to refuse permission then that decision should be respected and the companies should be told to go away and think again.”

and here

Fylde MP Mark Menzies said: “The Minister’s correspondence was in response to my letter to the Secretary of State where I outlined my concerns over these appeals.

“As someone who is a strong supporter of localism I believe the council’s original decisions over these sites should be upheld and I wanted to put my view on record to be considered as part of the appeals process.

“I have said all along that these decisions should be made at a local level and I stand by that.”

If Mr Menzies wishes to remain credible then now is the time for him to show us what he is made of.

Over to you Mr Menzies. We are watching with interest!

DECC Wave 15 shows significant increase in opposition to fracking

DECC released the results of Wave 15 of their opinion tracker. Since Wave 8 (December 2013) they have been tracking public support or opposition to fracking.

Over those two years the situation has shifted radically as can be see from this graph:

Decc Wave 15 graph

Over these two year we have seen support decline from 27% to 23%  (a 15% decrease) whilst opposition has gone from 21% to 30% (an increase of 43%)

The progression shows that this is not a blip but a continuing sea change in the way in which fracking has been perceived, at the same time as  awareness has increased from 42% of those responding to 77% of those responding. It really does seem to be true that the more people know about fracking the less they like it.

DECC Wave 15 table
The fracking companies will no doubt be keen to point out that there is a 2% rise in their own support, but that rise is not seen as statistically significant, whereas the 3% rise in opposition is, as can be seen above.

Clearing the DECCs

Well it almost passed unnoticed, but George Osborne’s speech in Manchester this week may have profound effects on UK energy policy, fracking and the future of renewables.

It seems that DECC has not been running as an autonomous department since the May election, instead it has been under direct control of the Treasury who now seem to view it as a little too hot to handle.

As a result the entire energy policy brief out of the department for energy and climate change has been handed to the new National Infrastructure Commission headed up by Labour Peer and ex cabinet minister Lord Adonis.

The Ecologist reports:

With the energy portfolio has gone all the big issues on its agenda. These include the Hinkley C nuclear power station, indeed the entire future of the UK nuclear power programme.

And then’s there’s renewable energy – until it was hammered by swingeing cuts in support and deliberate planning blight, one of the UK’s fastest growing and most successful industrial sectors.

So what’s left for DECC to do? We can only imagine that secretary of state Amber Rudd is asking herself the same question

Rather than paraphrase the Ecologist’s excellent summary of what has been done and what it might mean I’ll point you to their article here http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/2985705/uks_energy_revolution_deccs_role_usurped_by_new_infrastructure_commission.html

Clearly though this is one of the most significant developments as regards fracking and National Energy Policy in general that we have seen in recent years. Hold onto your hats. As The Ecologist concludes:

And let’s not delude ourselves. Lord Adonis is no greenie. He supports high speed rail, airport expansion, fracking and new Thames river crossings in East London. He has nothing to say about climate change at all – he’s far more worried about the fiscal climate or the economic climate than climate itself.

The most worrying thing about the ‘energy revolution’ is that energy policy is now detached from DECC’s climate change brief. However Adonis does offer some respect for the Climate Change Committee and its role in advising government. We must hope he takes their advice and maintains a committment to the Climate Change Act.

These profound changes in the UK’s energy policy landscape offer both threats and opportunities. On the positive side, they offer some prospect of rational and informed decision making. And that alone would be a welcome change.

Will we ever be able to have an intelligent debate?

I have spent some time over on a Facebook page apparently run by an anonymous group who describe themselves “as a group of UK residents that are backing fracking to create jobs in areas where they are needed most”

Leaving aside the credibility issues they have by insisting on remaining anonymous, it has been interesting to comment on the posts they make and to see the often hysterical reactions that you get if you attempt to have a lucid discussion with them.

I thought it would be interesting to demonstrate what happens if you do try to engage these people in a rational (and polite) debate.

Take a look at this – it shows what we have to deal with

argument

It is a bit hard to have a sensible discussion with people who think saying Thomas the Tank engine and Santa are big backers is amusing, but I particularly enjoyed the final witty and intelligent contribution to the debate from Mr Thornton.

Still at least they haven’t refused to engage at all – Blackpool Fracking For a Better Future refused to let me join their group and banned me when I applied, and FORGE (Friend(s??) of Ryedale Gas Exploration) deleted any (polite) post I made if it didn’t conform to their narrative.

If you ever wonder WHY you may be be having trouble getting a rational response from the pro-frackers you are not alone!

 

The National Fracking Gallery – Buttermere Lake, with Part of Cromackwater, Cumberland, a Shower (and a fracking well)

Fortunately for them, the residents of Cumbria and the Lake District are unlikely to suffer from fracking – they just have the joys of nuclear waste dumping to look forward too. Funny how this stuff all happens away from the South isn’t it?

Turner

Turner

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The blame game

The pro-fracker’s latest PR stunt is to try to profit from the misfortune of a PR Marriott employee who has been made redundant by trying to lay the entire blame for this on Lancashire County Council (for having refused permission to Cuadrilla to sink exploration wells last July), and by extension onto those who oppose fracking.

The gentleman concerned, one Arthur Parson, wrote a heartfelt piece which began

“I’m Arthur Parson, a Lancashire resident that was lucky enough to get a well paying job with one of the main drilling contractors for Cuadrilla a few years ago, after several years of no work.

But here I am without a job again because, in the last two weeks, I’ve been made redundant.

My employer had been lined up to drill up to 8 new exploration wells on the Fylde. But then councillors refused planning permission for Cuadrilla’s proposed sites at Preston New Road and Roseacre Wood, and everything changed.

The drilling firm that I was working for is an SME, and just couldn’t afford to carry my wages when the Cuadrilla work didn’t come off.

Sadly, I’m not the only one affected.

Another local lad, Neil Harrison, has also lost his job, along with 36 others.”

We are not sure about that “after several years of no work” as his LinkedIn profile shows that he was in fact employed by Leyland Trucks between 1999 and 2010, then set up his own plumbing business (Parson Plumbing and Property Repairs) for 1 year and 3 months, prior to joining Cuadrilla in November 2011. He actually joined “one of the main drilling contractors for Cuadrilla” not “a few years ago” but in October 2013 ( a bit less than 2 years ago), after having worked for Cuadrilla themselves for just under two years. Presumably the work with Cuadrilla came to an end after the problems they caused themselves at Anna’s Road in October 2013. That is hardly something that can be blamed on LCC is it?  So perhaps the “several years of no work” is just a bit of poetic licence .

Arthur Parsons - LinkedIn CV

Arthur Parsons – LinkedIn CV

But all that doesn’t really matter all that much does it? We have here a guy who has a family and is out of a job, and he is sore about it. Fair enough. But it seems that Mr Parson believes that the LCC decision is solely responsible for PR Marriott making 38 people redundant. I won’t suggest that he doesn’t genuinely believe that and I am sympathetic towards his plight as I too was made redundant in the early 90s with two young kids to support and no prospect of employment with an employer in the same industry in the middle of a recession when everyone was laying people off. I wish him well in his predicament, but it does need to be pointed out that he and his colleagues don’t actually have a right to a job doing something that has no social licence in this area, and they don’t have a right to jobs in an industry that may result in other people losing theirs.

If Mr Parson feels aggrieved he should be putting the blame where it really lies – his predicament is the result of a global situation, and the boom and bust nature of the industry he works in (which is one reason why, as he admits, the pay was good), not simply a Lancashire County  Council decision (although that may have been the last straw of course).

There is a global downturn in drilling activity, both conventional and shale, both oil and gas. Rigs are being mothballed worldwide.  LCC did not cause this downturn any more than they caused the current refugee crisis.

The bust in shale which has lead to drilling rigs being mothballed and drillers and associated crew being made redundant has been caused largely by the decrease in the oil price (which I don’t think LCC actually have much control over either) . It is clearly not just PR Marriott who have suffered, although the services sector has taken the largest hit. According to Forbes there have been 75,000 redundancies in the USA due to the oil bust of 2015.

Are we going to be told that LCC is responsible for these too?

If we look at PR Marriott on duedil.com we can see that they had 108 employees at the end of 2014.

PR Marriott

PR Marriott

It seems we are expected to believe that 38 of those (over 1/3 of the entire company)  were only there in case LCC gave Cuadrilla permission to drill their 8 exploration wells and, as soon as the decision went against Cuadrilla, PR Marriott instantly made them all redundant.

Yet we see the Reverend Roberts on his ludicrous blog pontificating about morality and the 10 commandments with relation to this issue (even though he seems to think that ignoring the one about theft is just fine), and we have his pal Ken Wilkinson posting things like this

The Pious Mr Wilkinson

The Pious Mr Wilkinson

Yes he actually said to somebody brave enough to question his sad rhetoric “You are one of a small minority who are responsible for this sad story.”  I think that tells us a lot about Mr Wilkinson’s sense of perspective (or rather the lack of it). Perhaps he doesn’t know what has been going on out there in the real world for the last 9 months or so?

I wish Mr Parsons every success in finding a new job – it’s a shame the government is hell-bent on destroying the renewables industries or he might find something there. As according to Linked In he’s also an experienced plumber  and HGV fitter I genuinely hope he won’t find it too hard to find employment.

In the meantime I also hope the pro-fracking campaign won’t sink any further. This limbo PR (how low can you get) really isn’t doing them any good.

Sadly, the reaction to this piece from the new astroturfing retread of the Blackpool Fracking for a Better Future Group doesn’t give much cause for optimism does it?

Not Backing FrackingIt seems that whichever anonymous individual is behind this account really doesn’t get the reality of the boom and bust nature of the shale gas industry or how PR works.

 

Chair of DEFRA Panel confirms accuracy of Rural Impacts study?

A recent article in the Solicitors’ Journal entitled “Fracking: What you need to consider” discusses issues which need to be considered by conveyancing solicitors in areas where fracking may take place.

[The article can only be accessed in full by registered users but you can sign up for a free 14 day trial to see it in its entirety.]

Within the article there is an interview with Andrew Wiseman, a specialist in UK and EU environmental law and the chair of the Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs’ contaminated land expert panel.

Mr Wiseman is clearly concerned about the impacts of fracking. Amongst his observations we read that:

“it will be incredibly noisy where the drilling takes place at the well pads, creating localised noise pollution” (Our emphasis)

“You will have a huge number of lorries going on and off the site, not just in the construction and exploration phase but also while the fracking is taking place” (Our emphasis again)

and that

“two-thirds of [estate agents in a recent survey] felt house prices would be negatively impacted by localised fracking, with the majority estimating that values could decrease by as much as 10 per cent.”

He goes on to say that whilst there is no current obligation for conveyancing solicitors to provide information on potential fracking developments to customers there may be an expectation and potential negligence claims if they do not.

Yes – this wise man is the chair of the DEFRA land expert panel, and he does seem to be confirming the accuracy of that previously redacted Rural Impacts Report doesn’t he?

Is fracking in PEDL 165 about to be hobbled?

Hot on the heels of the LCC decision to refuse Cuadrilla’s planning applications for Roseacre Wood and Preston New Road we saw a Westminster Hall debate on fracking.

Fracking decision LCC

Fracking decision LCC

In this debate Kevin Hollinrake, MP for Thirsk and Malton proposed a buffer zone of six miles between fracking sites and an industry scheme that will step up to pay for any damage to the environment and communities, as well as “truly independent monitoring”.

Leaving aside the minor issues of how the damage he mentions can be quantified and who would be paid, and the evident difficulties in finding a truly independent capable monitoring body, this idea of a six mile buffer zone is very interesting isn’t it?

PEDL 165 measures approximately 18 by 24 miles. this means with this restriction Cuadrilla would only be allowed to site about 20 pads in their licence area, even if we ignore the limitations imposed by the various conurbations.

Do Cuadrilla really believe they can operate with just 20 pads? They clearly would like us to think they could make do with 10 or 20 as when challenged to defend their claim that “Some critics have suggested that the area would be blighted by densely packed unattractive developments in the future, if we moved to the production stage. This would not be the case” they responded so that the ASA commented:

..we understood ..there would be approximately one well pad every 23 square miles or 46 square miles depending on whether 10 or 20 well pads were constructed. We understood the well pads would be spread across the 1200-km2 area

However, even with 40 wells per pad this would only give a maximum of around 800 wells. With EUR (estimated ultimate recovery) rates estimated per well by the Institute of Directors at about 3.2 billion cubic feet per well this would only allow for the extraction of about 2.5 trillion cubic feet of gas over the entire project. This is about 10 months worth of annual UK gas demand (which is just over 3 trillion cubic feet a year). Whilst the fracking companies do like to pretend that they may be able to get by with such a low number of sites so that locals don’t get scared in advance, it is hard to see how they can make good on their grand claims regarding their contribution to UK energy needs, or employment or energy security from such a meagre and restricted operational base.

Who on earth then (Cuadrilla included no doubt) would think that continuing on this path makes any sense given the huge expense and local impacts involved?

With the decision at Roseacre making it abundantly clear that the limitations of the rural road network rule out fracking pretty much anywhere not on an A road, it is hard to see where the frackers have left to go from here.

Pennsylvania Nein Danke!

Prospectors and protesters await crucial UK fracking decision

So runs the headline in today’s Financial Times above an article which begins

Britain’s leading shale gas explorer Cuadrilla has cited rural Pennsylvania in the US, home to America’s “fracking” revolution, as a model for Lancashire where it hopes within days to win the go-ahead for a contentious drilling campaign

Those of you who have been following the great shale gas debate may now be shaking your heads in amazement that Cuadrilla’s PR operation is so arrogant that they don’t think people are capable of making the rather obvious connections.

Pennsylvania where the “List of the Harmed” has grown to a staggering 16,000 + reports

https://pennsylvaniaallianceforcleanwaterandair.wordpress.com/the-list/

Pennsylvania where the impact of shale on local employment is routinely overstated by a factor of 10!

http://keystoneresearch.org/publications/research/exaggerating-employment-impacts-shale-drilling-how-and-why

Pennsylvania where the trucks are overwhelming the road network. Take a look at

(Look about 2:30 in for an idea of what we are talking about)

and

http://www.fractracker.org/2014/09/truck-counts/

Mr Egan – we really don’t want you to turn us into Pennsylvania thank you very much.

And then, later in the article we see the typical scaremongering of this industry.

Myles Kitcher, managing director of Peel Oil and Gas, said that big industrial users such as Ineos, the chemicals group, could quit the UK if they do not get shale gas supplies.

This presumably is the same Ineos who are investing £150 million in an ethane tank at Grangemouth to facilitate the import of LNG from US shales.

http://www.ineos.com/Sites/Grangemouth/News/Tank-Location-selected-for-Grangemouth-/

Please Mr Kitcher, don’t treat us like fools!

And finally we have the old reds under the bed , Qataris in Ferraris routine from Mr Egan when he
blusters

And the question is do we import that? Do we import it from Qatar? Do we import it from Russia? And do we ignore the gas sitting here beneath our feet?”

Perhaps Francis should ask his pals at Centrica because, amusingly, the deals to import gas from Russia and Qatar have been done by the same Centrica who are one of Mr Egan’s main backers:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/10430701/Centrica-signs-4.4bn-gas-import-deal-with-Qatar.html
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6fb10734-f969-11e4-be7b-00144feab7de.html#axzz3cuqI61MD

Of course the other question is do we just carry on importing it from Norway and the Netherlands. And yes, Francis, we ignore the gas sitting beneath our feet because getting it out risks ruining the agricultural area which LCC councillors, who will make a decision next week, are entrusted by us (not by you – you live in Cheshire) to protect.

A hit – a very palpable hit!

This week the Preston New Road Action Group sent out a press release which highlighted the fact that Cuadrilla are, by their own admission, planning between 80-100 well pads on their licence area.

The Press release was accompanied by a diagram showing a hypothetical layout of 100 wells outside the urban areas of PEDL 165

Wells on the Fylde

Wells on the Fylde

A spokesman for PNRAG stated

Cuadrilla’s projected benefits such as jobs are projected on figures of up to forty horizontal wells per pad. This means practically every square metre of the rural Fylde would be fracked under.

If the public knew what is involved in this fanciful scheme we believe there would be an overwhelmingly ‘no’ to fracking the Fylde. The whole plan will never happen, it is pie in the sky.

Cuadrilla have claimed to be able to provide a quarter of our gas needs [from the Fylde]. This is a pipe dream. Even if four thousand wells were dug in Cuadrilla’s licence area, US experience says over thirty years they would only have provided about seven and a half percent of the UK’s gas need. This will not contribute any significant benefit in terms of the UK’s energy security. What it will threaten to do is damage irreparably the Fylde’s environment, and its tourist and agricultural industry.

Given that the Press Release is based on Cuadrilla’s own utterances there is not a lot that they can do to undermine it (see what I did there?) but of course they did try.

The scurrilous shill “Aunty Fracker” was soon spinning away like a demented top.

Incandescent with fury her Twitter account lit up like a fracking flare.

Aunty Pants on Fire

Aunty Pants on Fire

Cuadrilla themselves responded by suggesting that the total surface area covered by their 100 well pads would be just 2 square kilometers in total , which may be true but rather avoids the issue of the access roads, pipelines and other associated infrastructure, not to mention the fact that it totally ignores the main point that 100 well pads would mean undermining just about every square foot of the licence area.

Perhaps people might get a better understanding if they were told that 2 square kilometres is about 500 acres – the equivalent of around 250 football pitches.

Anyway, suffice it so say that at this delicate stage, just before the LCC decision is due, Cuadrilla do not appear to be happy about facts like this being brought to public attention. However, as we have said already, there is not a lot they could do. Desperate times of course call for desperate measures so the ludicrous “Aunty Fracker” gave it her very best shot on her blog. If she couldn’t argue with the facts she’s have to try to criticise the presentation, so today she treated us to this:

Aunty Pants on Fire again

Aunty Pants on Fire again

Oh dear – in spite of the fact that even Aunty can’t pick holes in his spacing,  the author (the very knowledgeable Alan Tootill), must be feeling well told off. Or must he?

You see Aunty’s ludicrous claims can be debunked within moments by visiting – yes you guessed it – Cuadrilla’s web site where we can see this map of Cuadrilla’s existing sites

Cuadrilla sites

Cuadrilla sites

Presumably our mad old Aunty will now concede that Cuadrilla are deliberately attempting to positively influence public opinion and con people by portraying their sites in the way they have?

Clearly (in Aunty’s world at least) the blue and yellow pins that Cuadrilla have used to identify their 7 local well pads will inevitably lead some readers to assume that’s how much space they will take up, and such massive sites will provide a huge number of jobs, dears, but it’s far from accurate poppets :-).

Refracktion’s best guess is that Cuadrilla’s blue and yellow pins  are the size of a large village or maybe even a small town, giving them an area of many many times the size of the dots on Alan Tootill’s map, and making Cuadrilla’s “offence” in trying to mislead people far far more egregious. Honestly Aunty – you should at least have checked their web site before launching into this ludicrous offensive and shooting your own foot so obviously in the process!

So, joking apart, it is clear (if it wasn’t before you read this, as would be the case for most intelligent people) that a pin or a dot on a map is not assumed to be to scale by most readers. Simple really.

If the best “Aunty ” can do is try some manufactured outrage about the size of Alan’s dots then “she” really must be struggling. In fact, with some stiff competition from “her”self,  “she” has seldom looked more foolish.

Perhaps “her” petulant comment

Petulant Aunty

Petulant Aunty

tells us all we need to know about how vulnerable “she” and the industry “she” shills for are feeling on this issue as we wait for the LCC verdict next week.

Post script: We also note that Aunty continues to use the well at Elswick as a comparison here saying

Helpfully, the Fylde is already home to an onshore gas well that is broadly comparable – the one in Elswick

Here’s what the ASA had to say about Cuadrilla using Elswick as an example

15. Upheld

We acknowledged that the Elswick site had been producing natural gas since 1993, but understood that the well was vertically fracked, unlike the horizontal fracking techniques proposed for the Preese Hall site. The claim implied that the outcome of fracturing at Preese Hall was likely to be similar to the experience at Elswick, but, because the fracking techniques would be different, we considered that the effect on residents could not be so easily compared. We noted CRL believed that there were no material differences between the two techniques. However, we understood horizontal fracking was a more complicated process as it involved both drilling down and drilling across the rock and that it used more fracturing fluid.We therefore concluded that the comparison of the two sites gave a misleading impression of the possible outcome.

On this point, the brochure breached CAP Code (Edition 12) rules 3.1 and 3.3 (Misleading advertising) and 3.11 (Exaggeration).

Here is what Toni Harvey – Senior geoscientist at the DECC had to say about the fracks before HVHF was attempted at Preese Hall for the first time in the UK

we would emphasise that these non-shale fracs are not comparable, in the volumes of fluid employed, to Cuadrilla’s operations at Preese Hall in 2011 – the non-shale fracs are much smaller.

Given that Cuadrilla are forbidden to use Elswick as an example by the ASA and Aunty Fracker knows this, this desperate attempt to mislead by describing Elswick as “broadly comparable” in any sense is also pretty shoddy stuff. But I guess when you are on the ropes ….

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